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Monday, July 7, 2025
SmartDrivingCar.com/13.08-Henry&Elon-7.7.25
8th edition of the 13th year of SmartDrivingCars eLetter

 

Is Elon Musk the Henry Ford of our day, and if he is, which Henry Ford, the myth, or the man?

M. Sena, July 1, “My latest Musings is not about John Kenneth Galbraith, …. It is about attributing accomplishments of heroic proportions to men like Henry Ford and Elon Musk, sometimes erring on what it was they actually did and why it was important. I made the mistake of allowing my fondness for JKG’s writing, and my general agreement with his views on politics and the business of government, color my description of his personality in the letter I sent that accompanied the Musings. I said Galbraith was “modest”. I was apparently alone in this belief, as my good friend, faithful reader…, pointed out. Having scoured the online sources for comments on his notable personality traits, I found that the word ‘arrogant’ predominates. The clincher was a quote attributed to him by his Harvard University peers in a memorial following his death: “Modesty is a much overrated virtue.”

So, in spite of not being modest, he delivers a balanced view of Henry Ford in his chapter on the myth and the man, and it was that chapter that inspired my comparison of Ford and Musk. I shall attempt to be more careful with my words of praise in the future.

… . I hope you will find time to read Musings on Mobility…. Read more  Hmmmm…   Very informative and enjoyable!!!   Alain

 

The Real Case for Driverless Mobility

Narrated by Fred Fishkin, Available now

Published in 2024 (but still relevant)!!!  Go to Amazon.com

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 393 / PodCast 393w/ Michael Sena: Is Elon Musk the Henry Ford of our day?

F. Fishkin, July 6, “Is Elon Musk the Henry Ford of our day? In which ways? Some surprises, perhaps, in a Mobility Musings essay from Michael Sena who joins Alain and Fred for episode 393 of Smart Driving Cars. Plus- the Tesla robotaxi rollout and the coverage of it, Waymo, VW, driverless systems in China, Malcolm Gladwell and more.

0:00 open

0:35 Musings on Mobility: Is Elon Musk the Henry Ford of Our Day? Essay by Michael Sena.

14:00 What will Musk’s legacy be?

16:56 Should consumer look at the man or the car?

18:14 Alain’s take on the coverage of Tesla’s robotaxi rollout

21:40 What are the really significant accomplishments of Ford and Musk?

27:30 Alain recommends book An Immense World – How Animal Senses Reveal the Hidden Realms Around Us 29:00 Alain is also linking to PBS NOVA report on new images from the Rubin Observatory

30:25 South China Morning Post- How does a Chinese driverless system compare with Tesla’s?

31:05 Volkswagen’s MOIA unveils ID Buzz turnkey solution for full autonomous mobility services

32:40 Back to the question- why pursue driverless mobility?

37:05 Malcolm Gladwell is saying driverless cars are too safe..

41:02 Brief…very brief…update on HandyRides

42:00 GM’s Cruise Cars are back on the road?

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCasts

 

BTR Conference Home  WELCOME TO THE BRIDGING TRANSPORTATION RESEARCHERS (BTR) ONLINE CONFERENCE

We look forward to seeing you, your colleagues, students, sponsors, & other transport enthusiasts on

Wednesday + Thursday August 6 & 7, 2025!

Register here – it’s FREE!

Submit papers here – that’s free too!

 

An Immense World

How Animal Senses Reveal the Hidden Realms Around Us

By Ed Yong ; Narrated by Ed Yong, “ NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • A “thrilling” (The New York Times), “dazzling” (The Wall Street Journal) tour of the radically different ways that animals perceive the world that will fill you with wonder and forever alter your perspective, by Pulitzer Prize–winning science journalist Ed Yong…”, …

Listen more…  Hmmmm… Absolutely mind blowing!  This is Real Intelligence (RI)!  Alain

 

 How does a Chinese driverless system compare with Tesla’s?

 

T. Yau, July 4, “Chinese carmakers are surging ahead in the race for autonomous driving, with over 60 per cent of new vehicles in China boasting self-driving capabilities, compared to less than 40 per cent for US cars. Post staff conducted road tests during the 2025 Shanghai Auto Show to pit one Chinese-made car against Tesla’s Model 3. While impressive, the systems for handling actions such as merging, parking and obstacles are currently at Level 2 autonomy – and require driver attention. So, what does this mean for the future of driverless cars, and where does China truly stand in the autonomous car revolution?…”  Read more   Hmmmm…  Watch Video.  Very good. (and the videos that are teed up to follow.) But again, what challenge are they trying to address, especially wrt driverless?.  If you are a good driver and can afford a car, then driverless is not going to be for you any time soon.  If you are not a good driver, aren’t permitted to drive, don’t wish to drive and/or can’t afford to drive.  Then, near term driverless may well improve your quality-of-life.  Alain.     

 

  MOIA unveils series production version ID. Buzz AD and turnkey solution for fully autonomous mobility services

Staff, June 17, “The technology company MOIA marks a major milestone: with the ID. Buzz AD, the company presents the first fully i production vehicle from Volkswagen, specifically optimized for use in mobility services. The vehicle is part of a comprehensive end-to-end solution that also includes a software ecosystem and services for operators of autonomous mobility services. With this, MOIA offers public and private mobility providers a turnkey package to launch autonomous services quickly, safely, and at scale. “With our fully autonomous complete solution, we are creating a mobility offering that is unique in this form: cities, municipalities, and fleet operators can provide autonomous mobility for all simply and reliably. Our driverless ID. Buzz shuttles are part of a fully connected 360-degree package made up of leading technology, an attractive vehicle fleet, intelligent fleet management, and a customer centric booking system—all from a single source and quickly scalable to fleet size on the road.  ….”    Read more   Hmmmm…  Form factor looks great, but in the end, price will matter for some use cases. For those in which LiDAR is highly desirable, Waymo may be in trouble.  For those in which LiDAR is luxury, this may be an unaffordable luxury.  Alain     

 

  The Volkswagen Robotaxi That Wants to Rival Waymo and Tesla

S. Wilmot, July 5, “The self-driving taxi carefully steered around the delivery vehicle that blocked its path—and straight into oncoming traffic.

“Not the best driving decision,” sighed Christian Senger, head of autonomous vehicles at Volkswagen VOW3 -1.19%decrease; red down pointing triangle, which built the robotaxi.

The incident, during an otherwise smooth test drive last month, underlines how Europe—once the world leader in automotive engineering—is playing catch-up with the U.S. and China.

Alphabet’s Waymo has run fully driverless taxis in the U.S. for almost five years without serious mishap and now operates more than 250,000 rides a week. Similar services are available in cities across China, run by local tech companies such as Baidu.

With no homegrown tech giants and more onerous regulations, Europe has largely stayed out of the autonomous-driving race. Now, it’s hitting the gas, eager to hedge its bets on the future of the auto industry and foster innovation after years of sluggish growth.

Hamburg is the emerging epicenter of the region’s robotaxi push. About 30 specially adapted versions of the Volkswagen ID.Buzz electric minivan drive themselves around the city’s crowded streets, bearing the black-and-bronze livery of the company’s ride-pooling service, Moia.

With the technology still in test mode, human backup drivers sit behind the wheel ready to take over if it misfires, and rides are only bookable by staff. Moia plans to start carrying regular Hamburgers in the coming months.

Americans will likely be next. In April, Volkswagen said it would deploy thousands of self-driving minivans in the U.S. through an agreement with Uber UBER 1.72%increase; green up pointing triangle, starting in Los Angeles in 2026.  ….

Volkswagen’s wholly owned robotaxi project is less expensive than others, according to Senger, because it can join together with group brands Porsche and Audi to source sensors and software at scale. Putting the ID.Buzz AV on a production line will further cut costs relative to the EVs retrofitted with extra cameras and computing used by Waymo and others. 

But the company is reluctant to say how many of the vehicles it hopes to make or sell.

“We will scale at the speed of trust,” said Moia CEO Sascha Meyer.”    Read more   Hmmmm…  Nice informative article.  Alain

 

Did Tesla Just Say “Checkmate” to Waymo?

A. Spatacco, July 3, “Autonomous driving is emerging as one of the most exciting opportunities in the artificial intelligence (AI) landscape. Developing self-driving vehicles stitches together semiconductors, software development, and robotics. Hence, there are several different ways to invest in the technology.

For now, the most mainstream opportunities in the autonomous vehicle market seem to be through Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Alphabet, which owns self-driving car business Waymo. What most investors likely overlook is that Waymo and Tesla have approached building fleets of self-driving cars through different lenses…

 

Autonomous driving is emerging as one of the most exciting opportunities in the artificial intelligence (AI) landscape. Developing self-driving vehicles stitches together semiconductors, software development, and robotics. Hence, there are several different ways to invest in the technology.

For now, the most mainstream opportunities in the autonomous vehicle market seem to be through Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Alphabet, which owns self-driving car business Waymo. What most investors likely overlook is that Waymo and Tesla have approached building fleets of self-driving cars through different lenses.  ….”    Read more  Hamm…  This won’t come as a surprise, but existing ridehail is a very small niche market, less than 1% of daily personTrips.  The big unserved market is Latent Demand (That is why it is latent… It is unserved.) Serve that market and “Ya got sumtin”. Why hasn’t rideHailing gotten it?  Unaffordable.  Oh, I see the opportunity!  Q.E.D. Alain

 

  Tesla Updates Robotaxi App: Adds Adjustable Pick Up Locations, Shows Wait Time and More [VIDEO]

K. Singh, July 5, “Tesla is rolling out a fairly big update for its iOS and early-access-only Robotaxi app, delivering a suite of improvements that address user feedback from the initial launch last month. The update improves the user experience with increased flexibility, more information, and overall design polish.

The most prominent feature in this update is that Tesla now allows you to adjust your pickup location. Once a Robotaxi arrives at your pickup location, you have 15 minutes to start the ride.  ….”    Read more   Hmmmm…  The pickup process is “easy” some of the time but is often not at all easy.  At HandyRides, we are viewing it as a real-time rendezvous problem with both the customer and the vehicle needing to take advantage of real-time opportunities to accomplish a boarding that tends to minimize disruption. The same is true about the alighting process with the added requirement that the customer needs help getting to their ultimate destination. 

Waiting up to 15 minutes to depart on a trip priced at $4.20 seems enormously generous and unsustainable economically. Alain

    

  Malcolm Gladwell Says Driverless Cars Are Too Safe. Here’s Why   

C. Aiello, July 2, “Fear of death is the only thing keeping pedestrians in line in cities, at least that’s what Malcolm Gladwell would have you believe.

 

“Driverless cars in an urban setting don’t work because they work too well,” the journalist, best-selling author, and speaker said onstage at The Wall Street Journal’s Leadership Institute at Cannes Lions late last month

 

“If every car on the road is a driverless car, then there is no penalty whatsoever to pedestrians misbehaving,” Gladwell later said….”    Read more  Hmmmm…  He makes a valid point here, as does Raj.  We also have the insurance fraud issue; however, driverless vehicles have a data advantage that should allow the courts to readily adjudicate these situations. Alain

 

Alain

 

  GM’s Cruise Cars Are Back on the Road in Three US States—But Not for Ride-Hailing

P. Dave, July 4, “Cruise robotaxis are back on the road … well, kind of. Though General Motors pulled the plug on its self-driving taxi business last year, the automaker has been quietly repurposing a few of the vehicles as it seeks to develop new driver-assistance technologies.….”    Read more  Hmmmm…  OK!  Alain

 

  This Giant Telescope Will Map the Universe in Unbelievable Detail | NOVA | PBS

Staff, July 3, “Go behind the scenes as NOVA visits the Vera Rubin Observatory in Chile, where scientists fire up the world’s largest digital camera for the first time. Equipped with an 8.4-meter mirror and a 3.2-billion-pixel camera—the largest digital camera ever built for astronomy—the Rubin Observatory is poised to revolutionize how we see the cosmos. In just 10 hours of test observations, the telescope detected over 2,100 new asteroids.”  Read more   Hmmmm… So impressive and mind boggling!  Alain

 

  Autonomous Driving Experts Weigh in on Tesla Robotaxi … 

K. Li, July 5, “…”  Read more   Hmmmm… Behind pay wall so I could not see what she wrote as a follow-up to what she wrote last week after contacting me with the email exchange below.  What I do know is that I didn’t make her list of experts.  If  you’ve justified the expense of getting through the pay wall to get this “Insider Information” ( I thought real insider information could send you to jail. Or send women to jail.  One can’t be too cynical here 😊.)… I digress… Anyway, I didn’t make K. Li’s list of the inside definition of experts. 

 

On a more serious note… her request to me (and I assume the others) “begs the question”… It assumes the truth of a proposition while seeking to answer it.  Is speeding an “error”???  Essentially everybody does it and it is well known that speeding in many situations is “worse” than adhering to the speed limit. Hopefully the “insider” expert information dealt in depth with this issue.  (I can’t wait to learn how LiDAR can help with this issue,  Sorry, cynical again).  My bottom line on these inquisitions is that “nothing is perfect”.  Things can be very useful to address some challenges even if they aren’t perfect for a lot of challenges, even if not perfect for doing the thing that they are being used to do.  (My iPhone is not perfect, (but my wife is perfect!)).  Waymo, Tesla, MobilEye, Chines, … aren’t perfect!   Can they deliver more good than bad?… Absolutely!   Let’s find/discuss the places/challenges where they contribute high (not necessarily even the highest) net good in the many good   (not necessarily best) ways/algorithms can compute/construct that net.  And let’s implement those solutions.  Those that need LiDAR …  Waymo is top dog.  For those that don’t, maybe Tesla wins.   What societal Problem(s)/Challenges(s) are these insider technologies chasing?    By the way… this isn’t any “insider” information… This is “business insider” information.   Why isn’t the headline…. “Elon is offering rides for $4.20”.  Is that predatory or Schumpeter-like disruptive?

 

I reprint here our original brief exchange.   On 6/26/2025 8:00 AM, Katherine Li wrote:

Dear Professor Alain Kornhauser,

 

Hello, my name is Katherine Li, and I’m a reporter with Business Insider.

 

We’re reaching out to gain some insights on some of the errors that Tesla’s newly launched robotaxis are making. Most early access rides have gone pretty smoothly so far, but we have also seen a running list of errors it has made, such as speeding, random braking, and difficulty parking or pulling over. We would love to hear from you on how lidar or Tesla’s radar, or any other tech out there, may be able to help prevent these errors.

 

I can be reached at this email at all times or by phone at XXXXXX. Thank you! 

 

  To which I responded:

Thanks for reaching out, Katherine.

I am happy to talk with you about the advances Tesla has made, and the incredible, life-improving opportunities it presents for the thousands, millions of people who need affordable, safe transportation. 

I am also happy to talk with you about ways human behaviors (both inadvertent and deliberate – drunk driving, texting, speeding, in addition to reckless undermining of full self-driving technology, etc) will need to change in order to fulfill the promise of FSD to improve the lives of many people who lack equitable transportation options.

In other words, if you are only looking to repeat sensationalized, hand-wringing, “gotcha” stories, then I am not your source.But if you are interested in learning and in reporting a more visionary and inclusive version of this story that focuses on people who actually need rides to improve their lives, then, by all means, let’s talk.

Alain

 

She did not call.  I didn’t even make it to the cutting room floor.  Oh well!?

 

Alain

 

HandyRides Update

A. Kornhauser, July 4, “Bought 2 cars on June 30..”    Read more  Hmmmm…  OK!  Alain

 

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Previous SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast/PodCasts

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 392 / PodCast 392 – 7Tesla, Ford, Waymo and more

F. Fishkin, July 1, “What is the significance of a Tesla Model Y delivering itself to a consumer? What happened when Reuters and Business Insider reached out to Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser for comment on Tesla’s robotaxi launch issues in Austin? Join Alain and co-host Fred Fishkin for that plus Ford, Waymo and more on episode 392 of Smart Driving Cars. Tune in and subscribe!

0:00 open

0:40 Tesla Model Y delivers itself to consumer

5:18 With Tesla robotaxi launch in Austin … Reuters and then Business Insider contact Alain for comments on reported problems

17:30 Ford CEO favors Waymo’s LiDAR approach over Tesla’s vision only self driving

20:55 OBI lists pricing insights on Waymo, Uber and Lyft..

25:55 Upcoming online conference from Bridging Transportation Researchers

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 391 / PodCast 391 – Robotaxis from VW-Waymo-Tesla

F. Fishkin, June 19 “VW ID.Buzz Robotaxis coming? Waymo expands. Tesla robotaxis launching. All that and more on epsidoe 391 of Smart Driving Cars. Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin and subscribe!

00:00 open

00:39 VW ID. BUZZ robotaxis coming? Alain says call me!

3:30 Teslas safer than Waymo?

7:20 Waymo expanding…

9:49 to NYC too?

10:12 Some Texas legislators ask for a delay in Tesla robotaxi launch

21:20 Elektrek reports Amazon to test humanoid robot deliveries with Rivian vans

24:55 The Verge reports US DOT wants more self driving cars without pedals or steering wheels

27:47 Yahoo Finance headline..Nearly 75 percent of riders fear robotaxi safety, yet pay more for Waymo

29:45 The Times of London headline on UN report that terrorists could hijack AI driven vehicles

32:15 Techcrunch report on Wayve and Uber plan robotaxi launch in UK

33:15 Tesla robotaxi rollout can be tracked online

35:00 Real case for driverless mobility… and update on ITN America

38:00 MSN report on FRA and FTA project to receive funds from previously awarded grants

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 390 / PodCast 390 – w/ Michael Sena: Gov’t. roles-Musk-Waymo-Uber & more

F. Fishkin, June 6  “What should governments be doing for robotic vehicles? What did they do for human driven vehicles? Mobility Industry Insights publisher Michael Sena joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin to explore that plus the latest on Elon Musk as robotaxis are readied, Waymo, Uber, TRB and more. Tune in and subscribe.

0:00 open

0:44 Mobility Industry Insights: Should governments do any more for robot driven cars than they did for human driven vehicles?

16:20 What governments could do if they wanted to make driving more safe

18:18 Governments are doing things…but doing the wrong things

24:14 In Japan they are planning for some separate roadways for robotic vehicles

26:17 Tesla has planned to launch robotaxis in Austin next week- how would they be controlled? Differences from Waymo?

33:00 FinanceBuzz report on autonomous vehicle safety, accidents and reporting

39:00 Why aren’t intelligent cruise control and automatic emergency braking systems working together?

44:20 How old does a person really need to be to drive? Why is age relevant? Does it need to be a human? What about responsibility in robotic vehicles?

50:29 From TechCrunch …a patent infringement case that could disrupt Uber and others

51:22 The Transportation Research Board revamping committee structure and activities- TRB value.

1:02:00 What is needed to solve the safety problem?

1:08:00 Space X posts video titled Elon Musk, Mars and Beyond: The Road to Making Humanity Interplanetary

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 389 / PodCast 389 – Tesla, Aurora, Waymo and more

F. Fishkin, May 29  “We’re back with episode 389 of Smart Driving Cars as Alain Kornhauser wraps up his 53rd year teaching at Princeton University. Today, Alain and co-host Fred Fishkin looks at the coming launch of Tesla’s robotaxis, Musks departure from Washington and the company’s safety report. Plus, Aurora brings back human drivers, a battle over autonomous farm equipment in California, Waymo continues to grow and more. Plus…a tip of the cap to some great senior thesis work by Alain’s students. Tune in and subscribe. 

0:00 open 

0:37 Tesla sets June 12 date for robotaxi launch 

2:24 Tesla hiring humans to control robotaxis 

4:13 Battle over automated farm equipment in California 

6:03 Tesla safety report claims autopilot 10 times better at avoiding crashes 

12:03 Aurora putting humans in driver seats again 

13:40 NY Times reports driverless trucks are here with big promises 

17:46 Way expanding to San Antonio and Houston 

21:10 Warren Buffet asked about insurance shift with self driving cars 

29:27 Senior Thesis work highlight in Smart Driving Car newslettter

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 388 / PodCast 388 – Aurora, Waymo, NHTSA & more
F. Fishkin, May 4  “Commercial driverless trucks are on the road in Texas.  A big accomplishment for Aurora!  Plus.. a DOT research grant gets terminated, Waymo’s safety study and partnership with Toyota and NHTSA amends ADAS reporting rules.  Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 388 of Smart Driving Cars.
0:00 open
0:30  Aurora launches commercial driverless trucks
6:05 DOT cancels grant to Research Foundation of CUNY
7:50 Waymo releases study showing reduction in serious crashes and improved safety
13:45 Waymo partnering with Toyota
16:12 NHTSA amends order for ADAS reporting
19:40 Star Base now an official city in Texas
21:50 Alain wrapping up another semester at Princeton

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 387/ PodCast 387– The Last(?)Dispatcher w Michael Sena

F. Fishkin, Feb. 25  “Keeping cars out of cities? The parking meter is turning 90 this year. We learn more about that and more from The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena. Plus ..self driving cars, AI, the Black Hawk tragedy and more. Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 387 of Smart Driving Cars.
0:00 open
1:10 Michael Sena on parking meters turning 90 and what they are being used for now
8:15 The Pope and a cautionary approach to AI
13:05 For now…at least…the last edition of The Dispatcher
16:57 There’s another book on the way
18:30 Henry Ford…and the road today to driverless mobility
29:35 AI and Deep Research
37:10 the Black Hawk – American Airlines tragedy. What we’re learning.

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 386 / PodCast 386 – DeepSeek, HandyRides, Waymo, Tesla & more

F. Fishkin, Feb. 2  “DeepSeek and AI, HandyRides Inc. arrives, women providing taxi rides on motorcycles in Kenya, Waymo expanding to more cities and Tesla bringing front bumper camera to Model Y.  Welcome back to Smart Driving Cars!   Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for all of that and more on episode 386.   And remember to subscribe.

0:00 Open
1:21  AI code editor, DeepSeek and more
6:22  HandyRides Inc. now exists
7:05 From NY Times: Women on motorcycle taxis giving rides in Kenya and a piece on driving in Vietnam
14:36 Timothy Lee piece…speculating DeepSeek not responsible for crashing NVIDIA stock
16:50 Waymo expanding to more cities including Las Vegas and San Diego
19:58 More DeepSeek discussion
25:16 new edition of The Dispatcher out from Michael Sena
26:17 The work that lies ahead to provide mobility to those who need it
29:15 Why are there still rear ending crashes
29:35 New Tesla Model Y will have front bumper camera


SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 385 / PodCast 385 – w Michael Sena … GM Cancels Cruise, Waymo progresses and NHTSA’s New Rules for Driverless

F. Fishkin, Dec. 22 “With GM putting an end to the Cruise robotaxi venture, Waymo reaching 5 million rides and NHTSA proposing new rules for driverless vehicles, there’s plenty of news to end the year. The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for a look at those stories and more on episode 385 of Smart Driving Cars! Tune in and subscribe.
0:00 open
1:17 Nobel Prize for Physics awarded to Princeton’s John Hopfield. Alain’s tribute.
1:54 GM shutters Cruise robotaxi venture
13:26 Waymo has now delivered over 5 million driverless rides
26:49 NHTSA proposes new rules for self driving cars
34:55 The Dispatcher Musings…back to Scranton

38:14 Closing out the year with long time friends and kudos to Alain’s students

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 384 / PodCast 384 – The Election, Musk, Tesla, Waymo & more with guest Michael Sena

On episode 384 of Smart Driving Cars, Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin are joined by The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena.  This time out- the election, Elon Musk, Tesla, Waymo, Aurora and a tribute to the late Paul Michel Lion III

0:00 open 

0:55 From The Dispatcher -a look at the presidential election and the process 

10:01 Princeton’s Bob Vanderbei maps out the electorate one again

14:30 The involvement of Elon Musk, pre-election and post-election and Michael’s look at the Robotaxi event.

42:20 Tesla’s quarterly vehicle safety report 47:48 A tribute Alain’s PHD Advisor at Princeton, Paul Michel Lion III.

48:28 Waymo is now valued at 45 billion dollars 49:59 Aurora’s Chris Urmson says we are on the brink of a new era in mobility and logistics 52:25 Michael comments further on Waymo and its role at Alphabet (Google)

59:54 The Autopian report on Google/Waymo patent application for system to take over automatically if it detects a bad driver behind the wheel. 

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 382 / PodCast 382 – SpaceX, Cybercab and John Hopfield.

Space X wows with catch, Tesla’s Cybercab event and the potential impact on mobility, and Princeton’s John Hopfield captures 2024 Nobel Physics Prize. Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for the takeaways from the latest headlines and more. Tune in and subscribe!

0:00 open

0:30 SpaceX wows with landing

8:38 Tesla’s Cybercab event-Alain’s take on the ups and downs

18:22 Elon uses the elevator analogy!

21:12 Forbes piece- Can’t Get a Cybercab? Wave Down a Waymo.

22:40 AutoEvolution: 5 Polarizing Facts from Tesla’s We Robot Cybercab Unveiling Event

26:26 Presentation from Alain’s students on shared mobility at Next Generation Systems Conference

27:45 More on Cybercabs and questions about insurance

39:02 Princeton’s John Hopfield wins Nobel Physics Prize!

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 381 / PodCast 381 – w Michael Sena: data privacy, Northvolt, Tesla and more.
F. Fishkin, Sept 27, “ The privacy of the data and communications in your car. That’s topic one as The Dispatcher publisher Michael Sena join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 381 of Smart Driving Cars. Plus…what happened to Northvolt, what will happen at Tesla’s robotaxi unveil and more. Tune in and subscribe!

0:00 open

0:54 Vehicle telecommunications and data privacy battle

22:40 What happened to Sweden’s Northvolt

27:17 The efforts to stop the importing of inexpensive Chinese vehicles. Is the rest of the world toast?

45:55 Tesla prepares for the robotaxi unveiling October 10

54:35 Reuters reports Waymo discussions with Hyundai on vehicle platform and remarks from Waymo co-CEO at University of Michigan

1:00:35 Two of Alain’s students deliver at the Next Generation Systems Conference

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 380 / PodCast 380 – w Michael Sena
F. Fishkin, Sept 1, “Tariffs on EVs from China,  is congestion pricing in NYC really dead, Waymo, Tesla and more.  Tune in as the co-author of The Real Case for Driverless Mobility, Michael Sena, joins Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 380 of Smart Driving Cars.

0:00 open
01:15 from The Dispatcher- Delivering Transport Systems- the tariffs on China and more
16:41 Dispatch Central- New York City Congestion Pricing Halted.   For now, at least.
27:52 The push to provide rides beyond mass transit
32:00 New Driver Control Assistance Systems regulation being developed by UN Economic Commission for Europe
40:00  Gas tax was elegant for funding transportation…now what?
49:00  News coverage of Waymo car going wrong way into oncoming traffic in Arizona
52:02  University of Buffalo researchers probe safety of AI in driverless cars…and cyber-security discussion
1:02:05 WSJ headline asks How Will Self Driving Cars Make Ethical Decisions on the Road
1:03:06  Self driving pods to take passengers from  Atlanta Airport to College Park
1:04:40 Florida AV Conference this coming week

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 379 / PodCast 379 – Time to Pivot-Hamburg-Waymo-Tesla & more
F. Fishkin, Aug 26, “ Time to Pivot is the lead in the latest Smart Driving Cars podcast and newsletter. The effort is underway to provide HandyRides for driverless mobility. Plus ..join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-hosts Fred Fishkin for more on micro transit in Hamburg, Waymo, Tesla and the question of robotaxis for school kids.

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 378 / PodCast 378 – Cry’n Shame

 GM’s Cruise abandons the Origin purposely designed robotaxi in favor of the Chevy Bolt. Former CEO Kyle Vogt calls it disappointing. Plus the audiobook version of The Real Case for Driverless Mobility arrives. Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 378 of Smart Driving Cars.

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 377 / PodCast 377 – What would GreenVille MOVES look like

The push towards affordable driverless mobility continues on episode 377 of Smart Driving Cars. Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin show what GreenVille Moves would look like. Plus ..the EU mandates speed limiters, Tesla adding parental controls for teen drivers and more.

0:00 open

0:49 Congrats to Alain’s students who took part in the Henley Royal Regatta

2:04 Launching of HandyRides continues for affordable mobility

3:15 Demo of what GreenVilleMOVES would look like

33:30 EU is mandating speed limiters

34:15 Tesla update to give parents control over teen driver speed and more

39:50 The Drive report on Mercedes engineer criticism of Tesla FSD and its impact on public attitudes toward autonomous driving tech.

42:04 The Verge report on Distance Technologies windshield AR heads up display

45:00 Ken Pyle’s Viodi piece on Smart Driving Car Summit

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 376 / PodCast 376 – a mobility start-up is launched

July 1st marks the launch of a new mobility start-up!   Join Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser and co-host Fred Fishkin for details.   Plus..GM Cruise pays for crash report delays, Rimac robotaxis and automakers ask for reconsideration of automatic emergency braking rules.
 0:00 open
00:32 July 1 new mobility start-up launch
22:58 GM Cruise  to pay California for delaying crash report
25:23 Rimac robotaxis?
26:20 auto industry wants automatic emergency braking rule reconsidered

 

SmartDrivingCars ZoomCast 375 / PodCast 375 Elon Musk talks Tesla robotaxis and more. Maybe for Brownsville?

F. Fishkin, June 15, ” With Elon Musk divulging more about how Telsa robotaxis may operate, Princeton’s Alain Kornhauser demonstrates how they could be used to serve Brownsville, Texas. And the plan could be replicated anywhere. Plus the latest on Waymo and Cruise. Join Alain and co-host Fred Fishkin for episode 375 of Smart Driving Cars.

0:00 open

0:30 Musk talks robotaxi business, Tesla Semis and more new vehicles

15:27 Alain shows how a Brownsville MOVES mobility service could work.

36:19 Waymo issues software and mapping recall following telephone pole crash in Phoenix

43:10 GM investing 850 million dollars in Cruise and resuming operations in Houston

Link to  previous 351 -> 375  SDC PodCasts & ZoomCasts

Link to  previous 326 -> 350  SDC PodCasts & ZoomCasts

  Link to  previous 301 -> 325  SDC PodCasts & ZoomCasts

Link to  previous 276 -> 300  SDC PodCasts & ZoomCasts
Link to 275 previous SDC PodCasts & ZoomCasts

 


Recent Highlights of SDC eLetter

 

Tuesday, July 1, 2025


Tesla silences FSD critics by posting full video of Model Y delivering itself to customer

S. Alvarez, June 28, “It is no secret that Tesla still has ardent critics today, many of whom remain convinced that the company and its leadership are lying about Full Self-Driving (FSD) and its capabilities. It was then no surprise that when Elon Musk announced that the first Tesla had successfully delivered itself to its owner, critics were quick to question the CEO’s statement.

Videos of the all-electric crossover’s solo drive to its owner soon silenced Tesla critics and their claims.  …. Read more  Hmmmm…    Look for yourself at the video.  Since automation was being used to perform a function as safely yet more efficiently than is done conventionally, it is justifiable that the demonstration was done without an on-board attendant, whose costs would have completely negated the automation’s efficiency contribution without improving safety.   Consequently, Tesla is fully justified in using this automation technology for this application without incurring the unjustifiable expense of an on-board attendant when that attendant doesn’t contribute any positive to safety or efficiency.  

Also, I do realize that this publication is generally favorable to Tesla, so some may prefer to be skeptical about its reporting.  It is easy to find reportings presenting other perspectives.  Alain

 

Thursday, June 19, 2025 

  Volkswagen Will Sell You An ID. Buzz Robotaxi

L. Dnistran, June 18, “With all the hype surrounding Tesla’s upcoming Robotaxi service debut in Austin, Texas, it’s easy to forget that there are other players in the autonomous driving game. One of those players is the Volkswagen Group, and it just upped the ante with the launch of the production-ready ID. Buzz AD driverless taxi. 

 

In short, starting next year, companies, municipalities, and other entities will be able to order a fleet of ID. Buzz robotaxis as a ready-to-go package. MOIA, VW Group’s ridepooling company, said the autonomous vans come packed with everything that’s needed to operate them, including the sensor suite, full certification, and something called the autonomous driving Mobility-as-a-Service (AD MaaS) Platform, which enables operators to deploy the taxis extremely fast.

 

The VW Group entity said it plans to obtain full certification of the ID. Buzz AD to operate driverless in the European Union and the United States soon. When it comes to the sensor suite, the electric minivan comes packed with no fewer than 27, including 13 cameras, nine Lidars and five radars. The information from all of these goes into the Mobileye-sourced electronic brain to help it make decisions in all types of scenarios, including those where emergency vehicles are involved. Read more  Hmmmm…    What great news!   I want to be first in line to buy!  Call me!  😊  Alain

 

Friday, June 6, 2025

Should governments do any more for robot-driven cars than they did for human-driven cars? If so, what?

M. Sena, June 1, “…Enable, champion, finance, co-develop WHAT IS THE proper role of government in fostering social and technological developments in their countries? Herbert Hoover said, “The sole function of government is to bring about a condition of affairs favorable to the beneficial development of private enterprise.” This would suggest that he would do more than Jefferson but less than Roosevelt. Ronald Reagan said, “Government’s first duty is to protect the people, not run their lives.” He was never very clear about how far that protection should extend. Alexander Hamilton asked, “Why has government been instituted at all? Because the passions of man will not conform to the dictates of reason and justice without constraint.” Hamilton could have been a little less passionate himself; he would have lived longer if he hadn’t offended Aaron Burr, who challenged him to a duel and was a better shot. ….”  Read more  Hmmmm…    What a wonderful, well researched essay.  Those of us in it from the beginning basically just wanted government out of the way and just let us co-exit on a level playing field with existing drivers. Totally DE&I .  😊  Alain

 

Thursday, May 29, 2025

Tesla stock higher as robotaxi ‘golden age’ begins with June 12 start date, Musk officially departing D.C.

P. Subramanian, May 29, “esla (TSLA) stock is on the rise after two big pieces of news came overnight: a reported start date for robotaxi testing and CEO Elon Musk’s official government departure.

Per Bloomberg, Tesla is targeting a June 12 launch date for its robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, according to sources. The start date, which could change, the source added, is earlier than the late-June date Musk had previously announced….”  Read more  Hmmmm…    That’s my birthday!!!   Thank you, Elon, for moving up the date for me.  What a wonderful present.  Thank you and thank you for leaving Washington.  This is much easier and much better.  😊  Alain

 

Sunday, May 4, 2025

End Of The Beginning: Aurora Launches Commercial Driverless Trucks

R. Bishop, May 1, “Aurora Innovation, Inc. announced today that the company has launched its commercial self-driving trucking service in Texas.

This is a major milestone for on-road autonomy, at the same significance as Waymo’s 2018 debut of driverless services for people transport. Aurora’s journey started a year earlier, founded by veterans of the self-driving scene. The challenges of operating a tractor-trailer hauling up to 80,000 pounds of cargo at highway speeds have been daunting. More than a few companies tried and failed.

Following the closure of its safety case, Aurora is now running regular driverless customer deliveries between Dallas and Houston.  To date, the Aurora Driver has completed over 1,200 miles without a driver. The milestone makes Aurora the first company to operate a commercial self-driving service with heavy-duty trucks on public roads…   This hyperlapse video shows the entire Dallas to Houston run from a vantage point inside the truck cab.….”  Read more Hmmmm…    Congratulations Chris.  You’ve done it!  No more .. “we’re gonna…”.  You’ve donna!!!  As promised in your last earnings call.   Congratulations!!!  By my count you are only the 3rd CEO in the US (and as far as I know, anywhere in the world outside of possibly China) to have actually commenced a commercial service that leverages driverless technology to substantially improve labor productivity in high-quality mobility and the first to have done it in long-haul logistics using public roadways. Congratulations! Alain

Tuesday, February 25, 2025

THE MARCH 2025 ISSUE   

M. L. Sena, Feb. 25, “This is the last (for now) issue of The Dispatcher. From parking and to the Pope in this March issue. It covers a pretty broad spectrum, as have all of the issues I have written for the past dozen years. And, as always, I hope you enjoy it. .….”  Read more   Hmmmm…    As always, a lot to digest here.  Enjoy! And hopefully Michael will be back to restart The Dispatcher.  In the meantime, we are writing a book focused on the deployment of driverless mobility for those who really need a ride … “Walking-the walk”… as a follow-up to “Talking-the talk,” which we did in the book below.  Alain

 

Sunday, February, 2, 2025

Feb. 2, Hmmmm…    It has taken me a month to start the 13th year of the SmartDrivingCar eLetter.   I thought of jumping the whole year and calling it the 14th , but instead disregarded any superstition and am moving forward with reality.  Elizabeth and I also took a two week vacation (I believe my first ever) and toured Vietnam & Cambodia.  We had an absolutely fantastic experience with Marian Ott’76 and Craig Philip’75.  The four of us “a la carted” what we mutually prepared.  Happy to share/recommend details.  We had a great time.

2025 has emerged with a flurry of activity.  HandyRides, Inc. now exists. I’ve actually given some high-quality rides to people “who really need a ride”, instead of incessantly talking about giving some high-quality rides to people “….” . 

And, with all the disruption associated with “AI” and “DeepSeek”, I’m substantially changing my approach in Orf 401 this Spring.   Now, finally, on to the 13th year of the SmartDrivingCars eLetter.   Alain

 

Sunday, December 22, 2024

HappyHolidays!!   Dec. 21, Hmmmm…    It has been a most interesting semester.  Had a great Orf 467 class involving a host of excellent outside speakers including Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley and Kyle Vogt who returned to the class exactly one year after Zooming into last year’s class 6 hours before the incident that changed everything for GM/Cruise.  We learned so much!! The students became totally engaged in assessing the opportunities for MOVES-style mobility in their home communities.  A compilation of their findings to date is referenced below.  Alain

PS… I had the great pleasure of spending about an hour at the bedside of Prof. J. Stuart Hunter who taught Statistics superbly to so many back in the day.  At 101.5 he is still sharp as hell and sends his best wishes for the New Year to all our former students.  See photo. Also Prof. Ahmet Cakmak @ 90.5 sends his best.  He hasn’t changed a bit!

 

 2024 Nobel Prize award ceremony

Dec. 10, “ in Stockholm for the Nobel Prize award ceremony which takes place at the Stockholm Concert Hall, Sweden, on 10 December – the anniversary of Alfred Nobel’s death. At the ceremony, the Nobel Prize in Physics … to John Hopfield..Read more   Hmmmm…    So deserving.  Congratulations John!!!     Alain

 

 Saturday, November 9, 2024

Paul Michel Lion III 12/7/1934 – 11/3/2024 RIP

It is with my deepest sympathies and most humble condolences that I report the passing of my Doctor Father (Ph.D advisor) and life-long mentor, P. Michel Lion.  I owe everything to him!  He crafted my professional career. From the time in March 1967 when he interviewed me about possible late admission into Princeton’s Aerospace and Mechanical Science’s PhD program through just before he passed, he was a pillar of my academic life. As a newly minted Assistant Professor, he created and led Princeton’s Aerospace System’s Laboratory that in the ensuing five (5) years made substantial contributions to going to the moon and visions of Mars and the planets beyond.  When the mood of those aspirations diminished dramatically in the early seventies, he immediately envisioned the opportunity to pivot the Laboratory’s systems concepts from going to the heavens to using the to improve mobility, and thus the quality of life in our cities.  Thus, in 1972 created Princeton’s Transportation Program that created the opportunity for me to return to Princeton, and became a critical element of the “Operations Research” part of Civil Engineering at Princeton that has evolved into what is today Princeton’s 4th largest undergraduate major: the Department of Operations Research & Financial Engineering. Mike’s pivot in 1972 was the “big bang” that created this marvelous legacy.  

On a personal note, he is my son’s namesake with slight modification of Michel to Michael in order to also honor his maternal grandfather and his God father.  He, Jane, and his sons have always been there for me and my family.  He is greatly missed. Alain

P.S. A celebration of life is being planned for 2pm Saturday, Nov. 17 in suburban Virginia. 

Mark, Mike & Jane, Alain, Ida & her father Henry @ TRB Banquet 2018

 

Friday, October 25, 2024

Tesla Q3 Earnings Report Coverage & Analysis (Q3-24)  

Rob Maurer, Oct. 23, “live coverage of the release of Tesla’s Q3 2024 earnings report and shareholder letter

0:00 Pre- earnings / Robotaxi discussion

17:37 Earnings & shareholder letter

45:48 Financial review

1:03:11 Other thoughts and questions,”

Read more   Hmmmm…   Interesting and informative to watch Rob report it live.  Alain

 

Live: Tesla Q3 Earnings Call 2024 (TSLA)

Listen to Elon Musk and Tesla management discuss Tesla’s Q3 2024 financial results and answer questions from investors and analysts. Join Rob Maurer for a live blog highlighting key information, followed by reaction to the call and earnings report.

0:00 Call begins

0:49 CEO Elon Musk opening comments

21:53 CFO Vaibhav Taneja opening comments

28:56 Investor questions

54:35 Analyst questions

1:05:28 Rob’s review and questions”
Read more   Hmmmm…   Again, interesting and informative to watch Rob report it live.  Alain

 

Sunday, October 13, 2024

 SpaceX Launches Starship Flight 5 (and Catches A Booster)

J. Beyer, Oct. 13, “SpaceX is preparing the launch of the fifth Starship flight test. The window for the launch opens at 7 a.m. local time on Sunday. The company has confirmed on its website, and X, that it is targeting a potential catch of the Super Heavy test vehicle, if flight parameters allow for it…. “Read more  Hmmmm…   See also  SpaceX feed Worth watching from the very beginning.  Especially watch the NasaSpaceFlight link near the end where they play the views from their many cameras.  Absolutely marvelous what can be accomplished when you have very good people working together.  Also really good is having the public oversight (the FAA) grant permission to enable really good work to be realized.   Hopefully, a similar public oversight will allow and welcome driverless vehicles to give safe, affordable, high-quality rides to people who really need a ride.  Alain
 

Friday, September 27, 2024

The Dispatcher_October 2024
M. Sena, September 26, “… It is when management becomes detatched from the business, the nitty gritty details, that things start to slide and principles are compromised. This is what appears to have happened at OnStar with customer data being shared with data aggregators and used for rating the driving performance for insurance purposes. Automotive companies used to pride themselves on having management and di[1]rectors who knew the business. Now they pride themselves on having people who know nothing about the business.  It’s time for the pendulum to swing back.”.  Read more  Hmmmm…    Another wonderful and provocative issue.  Enjoy!.  Alain

 

Sunday, September 1, 2024  

The Dispatcher_September 2024

M. Sena, August 28, “Amidst wars, riots, assassination attempts, the Olympic Games, changes of presidential plans, and a two-day collapse of the world’s stock markets, the automobile industry putters along, trying to find a balance between ICEs and BEVs. When the summer started, the U.S. and EU were slapping tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles, and the Chinese government was threatening to respond in turn. It has been quiet on both the western and eastern automotive fronts since then, but when summer turns to autumn, the topic of tariffs will rise again. The lead article in this September issue is intended to put a long range perspective on the issues and give one man’s view of what is at stake for the players.”.  Read more   Hmmmm…    As usual, most interesting and informative reading.  The China challenge, like the driverless challenge and challenges in general, is not easy.  Alain

 

Monday, August 26, 2024

Time to Pivot

Alain Kornhauser, August 25, “Following our very successful 6th Princeton SmartDrivingCar Summit at the end of May, Elizabeth and I have spent the summer preparing to pivot from commenting and Hmmm… ing about what others are doing, or not doing, with SmartDrivingCars to preparing ourselves to actually do what Michael Sena and I described in our book:  “putting driverless vehicles to use for those who really need a ride”. 

We are putting together a team to take the first step in actually beginning to capture some societal value out of the $300 Billion that’s been invested in this technology since the DARPA Challenges 20 years ago.  Just to have an RoI of 1.0 will require the giving of 30 Billion rides if the societal value of each ride averages @ $10/ride.  If only $1/ride, it will take 300 Billion rides for this technology to break even. 

 

This certainly has been a moonshot investment in that it has been really hard, but so far, unless a lot is wiped clean, those that have been in it carry a heavy burden. 

 

But what is sunk is sunk, so we are jumping in.  It looks like we’re going to call it HandyRides, Inc. and focus on taking the first step to implementing our book.   We have version 1 of our elevator pitch  (feedback welcomed) and a plan that we’ve begun to implement with some very good members of what we are calling “our coalition of the willing”.  Read more   Hmmmm…    Wish us luck.  We can use all the help that we can get, so if you wish to help, let us know via return eMail to alaink@princeton.edu?subject=I%20want%20to%20help%20…”>mailto:alaink@princeton.edu? subject=I want to help …. Also hope to see you at the Florida AV Conference in Tampa in two weeks.  Alain

 

Wednesday, July 24, 2024

GM’s Cruise abandons Origin robotaxi, takes $583 million charge

K. Korosec, July 23, “GM’s self-driving car subsidiary Cruise is scrapping plans to build the Origin — a purpose-built robotaxi with no steering wheel or pedals — and will instead use the next-generation Chevrolet Bolt in its operations.

GM Chair and CEO Mary Barra told shareholders Tuesday the decision will “simplify their path to scale” and addresses the regulatory uncertainty faced with the Origin robotaxi because of its unique design. The per-unit costs will also be much lower, which will help Cruise optimize its resources, Barra said in the shareholder letter released alongside the company’s second-quarter earnings. 

GM reported a financial charge of $583 million in the second quarter that is tied to the non-cash write-off of Origin assets and other restructuring costs. The Cruise subsidiary had an operating loss of $1.14 billion in the second quarter that included a $605 million impairment charge …” Read more   Hmmmm…    RIP.  Alain

 

Former Cruise CEO responds to GM canceling Origin self-driving vehicle 

Z. Visconti, July 23, “A founder and former CEO of Cruise, the General Motors (GM) self-driving unit, has responded to the announcement that the company will be suspending plans for its Origin driverless vehicle to focus on a next-generation vehicle instead.

GM officially announced plans to suspend the Cruise Origin self-driving vehicle in its Q2 2024 letter to shareholders on Tuesday, after initially halting production of the driverless vehicle last year.

Former CEO and Cruise co-founder Kyle Vogt responded to the news on X on Tuesday, saying he was “disappointed to see GM kill the Origin.”…”  Read more   Hmmmm…  What a Cry’n Shame.  Elizabeth & I are setting out to fill the void by “giving rides to those who really need a ride”.  If you are interested in joining our “Coalition of the Willing”, then send your resume.  Alain

 

The Real Case for Driverless Mobility 

Tuesday, July 9, 2024

 

Henley Champs: Princeton 1V Takes Ladies’ Plate Title

Staff, , July7, “The literal finish line at the Henley Royal Regatta can seem pretty far away at times. The figurative one can seem further.

If you’re one of the fortunate crews to get to the latter, then there are few feelings in rowing that can match it. Ask the members of the Princeton first varsity 8. After a grueling week of racing, Princeton is officially a 2024 Henley champion.…”. See video Hmmmm… So proud that 2 on my “Lion SmartDrivingCar” interns were members of that winning boat.   Patrick Shaw’26 was n seat 2 and is a current summer intern and Nick Taylor’24 interned last summer.  Nick did much of the development of the cost model for our MOVES design and Analysis System and Patrick has been working with Timothy Mwangi to improve the database management aspects and parallelization of various aspects of the system simulation. So proud.   Alain

GreenVilleMOVES: Generating an initial MOVES configuration: GreenVilleDemo20

Alain Kornhauser, July 8, “Video describing the use of the MOVES-style Design, Analysis & Simulation System …” Watch video   Hmmmm…   Nice.  Alain

 

Monday, July 1, 2024 

Welcome to the Summer 2024

Alain Kornhauser, July 1, “…”. Hmmmm… Welcome to the summer of 2024. 
45 years ago to the day, my first wife Katherine and I launched our first “start-up” focused on fixing the hopelessly bankrupt Northeast railroads. Mark Hornung was the first employee and remained dedicated throughout his career as did others including Mike Bodden, Danni Titus, Dan Popkin and Michael Kornhauser, who for the past 11.5 years has grown and nurtured this critical pillar within its new parent.   I couldn’t be prouder!
Today, Elizabeth and I return to the Summer of ’79 and announce the launch of our start-up focused on creating the Proof-of-Market for “The Real Case for Driverless Mobility: Giving Rides to Those Who Really Need a Ride”.  While we still don’t have a name for this entity and haven’t completed the legal arrangements, we do have a number of dedicated individuals willing to put in the sweat to identify in detail who really needs a ride from where to where, when and subsequently manage fleets of vehicles that serve their needs affordably. 
Since at the beginning our capacity is miniscule, our efforts will be focused exclusively on serving those whose needs are greatest and can be served most safely.  As our capacity, technology and experience grows, we will scale to serve more of the many whose lives can be improved substantially from the availability of affordable high-quality mobility that serves their needs safely from where they are, to where they want to go, when they want to go there.
For now, we are finishing the paperwork and are calling our entity HandyRides, Inc.   Alain

 

Saturday, June 15, 2024

Elon Musk’s PREDICTIONS Just Left Audience SPEECHLESS!!

Farzad, June 13, “…”.  Watch Video  Hmmmm… Very interesting, especially now with a modified “AirB&B” extension.  Alain

 

Monday, May 27, 2024

Dispatch Central:  The 6th Princeton SmartDrivingCars Summit
Michael Sena,  June 1, AFTER THE 4TH PRINCETON SMARTDRIVINGCARS SUMMIT, which was held virtually due to COVID, Alain Kornhauser and I agreed co-author a book that would explain why driverless cars have an important place in the future of transportation. That was three years ago, and the book was published in January of this year. The chapters of the book provided the organizing structure for much of the 6TH SUMMIT held in the PRINCETON UNIVERSITY School of International Affairs on 30-31 May. The agenda for the two days is shown below.

 

There were three major differences between this Summit and the previous five. First, most of the participants were invited and were expected to deliver a keynote, give a presentation on one of the three principal topics and three principal themes, and/or participate in a panel. The topics were People Who Drive Themselves; People Who Need a Ride; and Non-People (e.g., freight) that Need a Ride. The themes were: Proof of Concept; Proof of Market; and Proof of Policy.

 

The second difference was that there were no separate workshops or break-out sessions. All the participants heard everything that everyone else heard. Active engagement and discussion was encouraged.

Thirdly, and most importantly, the 6TH SUMMIT had single focus, which was to discuss the immediate opportunities for implementing our recommended approach to delivering rides to the unserved and underserved members of communities, those who cannot afford to own or operate a car, those who are not able to afford taxis or who do not have friends or families who can provide rides, or who are not able to drive themselves. In past summits, participants presented their views on the current status of advanced driver systems and driverless technologies, and there was no carry-over from summit to summit. It felt like there was no progress being made on the goal of delivering affordable mobility to those who who need it. That was the principal reason that Alain and I decided to author our book, to make a compelling case for driverless mobility.

“The novelty of driverless vehicles is that there is no driver, and the only thing that should mean to the rider is that the cost of the trip is significantly lower. The vehicle itself should not be a novelty.”

Chapter 6: The Business Proposition of Affordable Mobility

Meeting the unmet need for mobility

In the U.S., 89% of adults over 25, totaling 205 million people, have driver’s licenses, but that does not mean they all drive. 79% of those over 75 who have drivers’ licenses, representing 7% of the total population, drive once per year. 71% of 16-19- year-olds, which is 9% of the population, drive once per year. Either they do not own their own car, or the family car is used by another family member. Four percent of licensed drivers lose their license each year. That is 8 million drivers. Twenty-five percent of all U.S. adults over 25, which is 57 million people, have a disability that affects their ability to drive. And the big number of unserved or underserved are the 52% of households that have incomes lower than $75,000 and cannot afford a car costing over over $29,000.

The diagram below shows the approximate percent of daily trips that are made by people with their own car, by people taking public transport and walking, and by taxi or equivalent. The vast majority of trips are made by car, and many of them have no passengers.

 

The real case for driverless mobility is meeting the unmet needs of people who cannot afford to own and operate their own car, cannot drive, cannot afford to be chauffeured, and cannot take public transport, either because it does not exist or does not take them to where they need to go when they need to get there. It is not a replacement for the private car, the bus, a taxi, or people’s own two feet. Perhaps, in time, sustaining improvements will make it attractive to those who are not underserved because it provides affordable and convenient rides, but we should not wait for a replacement to a private, self-driven car or a chauffeured taxi to use driverless technology within controlled operational design domains.

On the second day of the Summit, we showed a simulation of how driverless cars could be employed within a community to deliver point-to-point rides. Pick-up and drop-off points are positioned within a five-minute walk of all residences, and daily trips from each household are calculated based on census data. Simulated trips to work, school, shopping, recreation, and all other places are estimated based on the demographics of the residences within the census district. A significant amount of time and effort has been put into developing the simulator over the years by Alain and his students, and they are all credited with special mention at the end or out book.

 

It’s time for MOVES to get moving

At this time next year, there should be a real MOVES23 pilot project in a real community, not just a simulation. That is the goal. If there is a 7TH SMARTDRIVINGCARS SUMMIT, it should be a celebration of the achievement of that goal, but the real purpose of having a gathering is for participants to roll up their sleeves and discuss problems that have been identified during the previous year and ways to make improvements. There will be other venues to talk about driverless freight applications, driverless vehicle standards development, safety, and insurance, and we should do all we can to support developments in all areas. However, if the mission of SmartDrivingCars—at least as I understood it—is to be fulfilled, it is with delivering rides to the large number of people who need a ride but who cannot afford one..…” Read More  Hmmmm… Here we go. We’re beginning to do it.  Alain

 

Monday, May 27, 2024

On self driving, Waymo is playing chess while Tesla plays checkers
Timothy Lee,  May 21, “.Tesla fans—and CEO Elon Musk himself—are excited about the prospects for Tesla’s Full Self Driving (FSD) software. Tesla released a major upgrade—version 12.3—of the software in March. Then last month Musk announced that Tesla would unveil a purpose-built robotaxi on August 8. Last week Elon Musk announced that a new version of FSD—12.4—is coming out in the coming days and will have a “5X to 10X improvement in miles per intervention.”

But I think fans expecting Tesla to launch a driverless taxi service in the near future are going to be disappointed.

During a late March trip to San Francisco, I had a chance to try the latest self-driving technology from both Tesla and Google’s Waymo. 

During a 45-minute test drive in a Tesla Model X, I had to intervene twice to correct mistakes by the FSD software. In contrast, I rode in driverless Waymo vehicles for more than two hours and didn’t notice a single mistake.

So while Tesla’s FSD version 12.3 seems like a significant improvement over previous versions of FSD, it still lags behind Waymo’s technology.…” Read More  Hmmmm… True!  Very thoughtful article.  But chess is way too tough for me to enjoy.  That’s for my friend,  Jon Crumiller.  (He is really good! ) Maybe checkers can be good enough for me?  Alain

 

Sunday, May 19, 2024

The Battle for the Streets of New York
D. Stewart,  May 13, “On a recent morning, the intersection of East 77th Street and Lexington Avenue presented a vivid illustration of the tumult.
A taxi trying to make a left turn had to maneuver around a Verizon crew digging up the asphalt. A box truck was parked in the bus lane, and the M102 bus, with its accordionlike belly, was forced to change lanes and snake around it.
Dozens of people streamed out of the subway and into the crosswalk. A man pushing a double stroller navigated between the subway entrance and a sidewalk compost box. A woman’s shopping cart wheels got stuck in a crack in the sidewalk. CitiBikes and delivery bikes whizzed by. A cargo bike stopped in front of a FedEx truck that was unloading packages next to a bike lane.
Lively, energetic streets make city living attractive — people to watch, windows to browse, benches to sit on, trees for shade. 
But lately, New York City streets are teetering between lively and unlivable. Residents clash over traffic, noise, parking, 5G towers and heaps of trash. Most years, far fewer pedestrians get killed by motorists than in generations past, but last year was the deadliest year for cyclists since 1999.…” Read More  Hmmmm…   Waymo wants to play on these streets in this context?  Is no one in the room going to raise their hand and ask: “We want to do what??  Doesn’t anyone recall Napoleon’s invasion of Moscow ?”
Is Waymo as  clueless as Apple, when nobody in any room during any meeting raised their hand and ventured: “Doesn’t
Crush! embody the perfect antithesis of our brilliant 1984 Superbowl ad?  What are people thinking around here???” Alain

 

Sunday, May 12, 2024

Information Request ID RQ24009 to Mr. Gates:

G. Magno, May 6, “This letter is to inform you that the Office of Defects Investigation (ODI) of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has opened a Recall Query (RQ24009) to investigate the remedy effectiveness of Recall 23V838. …” Read More   Hmmmm…   A remedy was implemented, and its effectiveness is being investigated.  Fair enough! 

Actually, beyond fair to very good…  In this case, involving extremely rare events,  data are available to indicate that the defect may still persist.  

Moreover, beyond very good to fantastic … In this case, current data may also be available that may enable the precise quantification of the effectiveness of the remedy in the real world and the design and dissemination of a more effective remedy. 

As someone existing in the antiseptic world of an ‘academic bubble’ and carefully reading all 18 pages of the ‘Information Request,’ I’m wondering if this isn’t completely uncharted territory for NHTSA, if not all safety-responsible entities in terms of its depth and timeliness?

I suspect that, given the opportunity, lawyers use ‘discovery’ to go on very deep fishing expeditions, but this one seems different.  It seems like they know for what they are fishing, that the fish exist, and that the fish may actually be anxious and willing to get caught so as to be able to jointly solve this nasty problem … Wow!  and possibly derive even more societal value in the process … Wow, Wow!!

 Is life really this good???

In this case it may well be…

1.       Neither NHTSA nor Tesla want ‘AutoPilot’ or ‘Supervised FSD’ or ‘whatever you call it’ to be technologically unsafe. This can largely be done (and has been) in the lab,  in simulation and in controlled real-world environments.

2.       Nor do either want misbehaving users to misbehave implicitly or explicitly in using these products.  Unfortunately, this “human-in-the-loop” aspect of these technologies today aren’t done well in the lab, in simulation or controlled real-world tests.  They are so nuanced by the creative work-around gaming feedback employed objectively by explicit misbehavers and, unfortunately, by as yet unobserved and unanticipated implicit misbehaviors. 

3.       The utopic beauty of where we might find ourselves today is that Tesla has deployed the infrastructure that enables observation and the documentation, through real-time data capture, of the performance of these features that effectively characterize their safety implications.

1.        Tesla has conducted and publicly released its internal assessments of these data observations.   This information request will allow NHTSA to independently authenticate or refute what Tesla has been saying all along about the overall safety implications of these features. 

2.       We’ll have ‘leading indicators’ as to where on the authenticity-refute spectrum NHTSA is likely to fall by the intensity of pushback, if any, Tesla exhibits in its response to some or all of this ‘Information Request”

4.       What adds to the utopist view of this request is that it is so intense and deep, that such a request would only be made if NHTSA knew that Tesla has the data, can readily respond and likely wants NHTSA’s help in solving this challenge.

1.       Moreover, Tesla realizes that it alone can’t sufficiently control the creative mis-behaving elements of the human-in-the-loop aspects of these features.  It needs NHTSA’s enforcement power for the “we-know-you-bought-it-but-if-we-catch-you-explicitly-misusing-it-you- lose-it-without-reimbursement” response.  

5.       What may have sealed this deal is Tesla’s realization that today, it may be the only car company that has a ghost of a chance to comply with such an information request.  None have invested in sufficient sensing infrastructure to source the data, let alone the communications infrastructure to collect the data or the back-end infrastructure to analyze or store the data.  I’ve owned a car(s) for 10 years that perform autopilot-like stuff that if I didn’t pay attention or hung a weight on the steering wheel and hopped in the back seat, I’d be dead. That company made zero effort throughout those 10 years to learn what I was doing with their ‘AutoPilot’ or made any attempt to see if I was misusing it or anything (expect inform me of the gas $ I would save if I traded in and bought a new one.  It couldn’t even help me find the car when it was stolen from my driveway in front of my house because I left the remote key inside, and that remote ignition system is detectable from afar such that any Soprano in Jersey can remotely determine that I left the key inside and readily use the car for his pleasure. Whew! I digress. ).

Bottom- line is if Tesla largely complies with this request, NHTSA will be happy, Tesla will be happy, the traveling public will be safer, and the rest of the auto industry is going to experience a rude awakening that they’d better invest in the sensor, communication and back-end infrastructure to match or leapfrog Tesla, else they have no hope of incorporating any advanced driver assistance, let alone “Level 3”.

Alain

Sunday, May 5, 2024 

   The Business of Safe Car Design

M. Sena, May 2024, “THE MOTIVATION FOR writing this article was a tragic oc-currence: A person drove their car into a body of water and died. This incident became international news for two reasons: 1) the person who drove the car was well-known and very wealthy; 2) the person was the sister of Elaine Chao, who is both a former U.S. Secretary of Transportation and the wife of the current U.S. Senate Minority Leader, Mitch McConnell. The fact that the car was a TESLA added to the interest because the reason the car ended up in the water was linked to TESLA’s unconventional gear-shifting design.

Approximately 400 people die each year in the U.S. in car accidents involving vehicle submersion.1…” Read More   Hmmmm…  Michael reflects on two transport-related incidents, both resulting in deaths. There was a container ship that collided with a bridge support in Baltimore in which six workers who were on the bridge perished, and there was a woman who drove her car into a lake and drowned. Both have been classified as accidents, because there seems to have been no malicious intent involved in either incident. However, both were preventable if those who were in charge of setting policies had made different decisions than the ones which allowed these deaths to occur. The pilot of the ship that collided with the bridge pier, and the driver of the vehicle that ended up in the water, bear responsibility for those actions which were under their control. The politicians who decided not to put guards around the piers, and the car manufacturer who decided to make gear shifting a test of video gaming acumen, share some the accountability. But the voters who put the politicians in their comfortable chairs, and the shareholders who have applauded the inventiveness and ingenuity of company leadership, do not escape criticism. Ultimately, it should not be a city or a state that decides whether to protect vital (and very expensive) infrastructure from being hit by wayward ships, and it should not be individual car companies who decide whether their cars can be driven by individuals who are incapacitated as a result of alcohol or drugs. Excellent read.  Alain

 

The Real Case for Driverless Mobility

 

Alain L. Kornhauser, *69, *71, P03, P27

Professor, Operations Research & Financial Engineering
Director of Undergraduate Studies, ORFE
Director, Transportation Program
Faculty Chair, Princeton Autonomous Vehicle Engineering

229 – Sherrerd Hall
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ
alaink@princeton.edu
609-980-1427 (c)
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